Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11?
9°C 85%
7°C or below 20%
8°C 1%
10°C <1%
$745 Wol.
$745 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
9°C 85%
7°C or below 20%
8°C 1%
10°C <1%
$745 Wol.
$745 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
$20 Wol.
No
8°C
$45 Wol.
No
9°C
$228 Wol.
Yes
10°C
$109 Wol.
No
11°C
$178 Wol.
No
12°C
$141 Wol.
No
13°C
$5 Wol.
No
14°C
$5 Wol.
No
15°C
$5 Wol.
No
16°C
$5 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$5 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$745Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$745Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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