Recent short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high likelihood of cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, which is suppressing peak temperatures toward the 31–33°C range and driving the market's concentration of probability there. Persistent northeast winds, elevated humidity near 70%, and 70–80% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping values near the long-term September 14 average of 32°C while reducing the odds of reaching historical extremes like 36°C. Model consensus shows minor spread in timing and intensity of rain, creating the observed uncertainty across 30–35°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, along with real-time surface observations on the day, will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
16%
32°C
28%
33°C
31%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
2%
29°C
$0 Wol.
8%
30°C
$20 Wol.
5%
31°C
$7 Wol.
16%
32°C
$0 Wol.
28%
33°C
$11 Wol.
31%
34°C
$27 Wol.
18%
35°C
$1,014 Wol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high likelihood of cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, which is suppressing peak temperatures toward the 31–33°C range and driving the market's concentration of probability there. Persistent northeast winds, elevated humidity near 70%, and 70–80% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping values near the long-term September 14 average of 32°C while reducing the odds of reaching historical extremes like 36°C. Model consensus shows minor spread in timing and intensity of rain, creating the observed uncertainty across 30–35°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, along with real-time surface observations on the day, will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,085Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high likelihood of cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, which is suppressing peak temperatures toward the 31–33°C range and driving the market's concentration of probability there. Persistent northeast winds, elevated humidity near 70%, and 70–80% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping values near the long-term September 14 average of 32°C while reducing the odds of reaching historical extremes like 36°C. Model consensus shows minor spread in timing and intensity of rain, creating the observed uncertainty across 30–35°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, along with real-time surface observations on the day, will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,085Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high likelihood of cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, which is suppressing peak temperatures toward the 31–33°C range and driving the market's concentration of probability there. Persistent northeast winds, elevated humidity near 70%, and 70–80% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping values near the long-term September 14 average of 32°C while reducing the odds of reaching historical extremes like 36°C. Model consensus shows minor spread in timing and intensity of rain, creating the observed uncertainty across 30–35°C outcomes. Updated runs from regional and global models, along with real-time surface observations on the day, will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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