Trader consensus around 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Seattle on September 11 reflects National Weather Service model guidance and recent observational trends showing a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Current conditions align with early-September climatology near Sea-Tac Airport, where daily highs have averaged in the mid-to-upper 60s amid neutral ENSO patterns and no strong ridge or offshore wind event to push readings higher. Ensemble forecasts indicate low probability of exceeding 70°F due to persistent cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures in the upper 50s, while downside risk remains capped by seasonal baselines. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum observations, with any final model updates or real-time adjustments able to shift implied probabilities before close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on September 11?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 11?
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 34%
70-71°F 13%
64-65°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 34%
70-71°F 13%
64-65°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
57°F or below
$198 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$334 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$174 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$365 Wol.
2%
64-65°F
$515 Wol.
6%
66-67°F
$1,855 Wol.
34%
68-69°F
$3,674 Wol.
47%
70-71°F
$581 Wol.
13%
72-73°F
$361 Wol.
3%
74-75°F
$375 Wol.
1%
76°F or higher
$358 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Seattle on September 11 reflects National Weather Service model guidance and recent observational trends showing a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Current conditions align with early-September climatology near Sea-Tac Airport, where daily highs have averaged in the mid-to-upper 60s amid neutral ENSO patterns and no strong ridge or offshore wind event to push readings higher. Ensemble forecasts indicate low probability of exceeding 70°F due to persistent cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures in the upper 50s, while downside risk remains capped by seasonal baselines. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum observations, with any final model updates or real-time adjustments able to shift implied probabilities before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,464Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 7:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Seattle on September 11 reflects National Weather Service model guidance and recent observational trends showing a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Current conditions align with early-September climatology near Sea-Tac Airport, where daily highs have averaged in the mid-to-upper 60s amid neutral ENSO patterns and no strong ridge or offshore wind event to push readings higher. Ensemble forecasts indicate low probability of exceeding 70°F due to persistent cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures in the upper 50s, while downside risk remains capped by seasonal baselines. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum observations, with any final model updates or real-time adjustments able to shift implied probabilities before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,464Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 7:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Seattle on September 11 reflects National Weather Service model guidance and recent observational trends showing a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Current conditions align with early-September climatology near Sea-Tac Airport, where daily highs have averaged in the mid-to-upper 60s amid neutral ENSO patterns and no strong ridge or offshore wind event to push readings higher. Ensemble forecasts indicate low probability of exceeding 70°F due to persistent cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures in the upper 50s, while downside risk remains capped by seasonal baselines. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum observations, with any final model updates or real-time adjustments able to shift implied probabilities before close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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