Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a daytime high of 17–18°C in Moscow on September 13, aligning with the long-term September average high of 16.9°C. This positions 17°C as the market favorite at 48.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 28%, as models show stable conditions without significant warming or cooling signals. Low precipitation chances and typical autumnal pressure around 749–750 mmHg support limited variability, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow expected range and historical precedent for mid-September temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
17°C 46%
16°C 27%
18°C 17%
15°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
27%
17°C
46%
18°C
17%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 27%
18°C 17%
15°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
13°C or below
$286 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$173 Wol.
1%
15°C
$114 Wol.
6%
16°C
$275 Wol.
27%
17°C
$818 Wol.
46%
18°C
$451 Wol.
17%
19°C
$363 Wol.
4%
20°C
$272 Wol.
1%
21°C
$265 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$147 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a daytime high of 17–18°C in Moscow on September 13, aligning with the long-term September average high of 16.9°C. This positions 17°C as the market favorite at 48.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 28%, as models show stable conditions without significant warming or cooling signals. Low precipitation chances and typical autumnal pressure around 749–750 mmHg support limited variability, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow expected range and historical precedent for mid-September temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,310Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a daytime high of 17–18°C in Moscow on September 13, aligning with the long-term September average high of 16.9°C. This positions 17°C as the market favorite at 48.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 28%, as models show stable conditions without significant warming or cooling signals. Low precipitation chances and typical autumnal pressure around 749–750 mmHg support limited variability, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow expected range and historical precedent for mid-September temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,310Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a daytime high of 17–18°C in Moscow on September 13, aligning with the long-term September average high of 16.9°C. This positions 17°C as the market favorite at 48.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C at 28%, as models show stable conditions without significant warming or cooling signals. Low precipitation chances and typical autumnal pressure around 749–750 mmHg support limited variability, though minor model spreads could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with lower odds on outliers reflecting the narrow expected range and historical precedent for mid-September temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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