Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds clustered around 22–24°C, stems primarily from short-range forecast variability for September 13 maximum temperatures in Cape Town. Official guidance from regional models shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting daytime heating while a weak frontal passage introduces timing uncertainty that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations indicate above-average September conditions with fluctuating pressure gradients, and historical analogs suggest such setups often produce narrow ranges between 21–25°C. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
23°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
17%
23°C
25%
24°C
22%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$190 Wol.
2%
20°C
$50 Wol.
3%
21°C
$332 Wol.
10%
22°C
$573 Wol.
17%
23°C
$42 Wol.
25%
24°C
$521 Wol.
22%
25°C
$376 Wol.
17%
26°C
$632 Wol.
5%
27°C
$48 Wol.
4%
28°C
$150 Wol.
2%
29°C or higher
$1,491 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds clustered around 22–24°C, stems primarily from short-range forecast variability for September 13 maximum temperatures in Cape Town. Official guidance from regional models shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting daytime heating while a weak frontal passage introduces timing uncertainty that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations indicate above-average September conditions with fluctuating pressure gradients, and historical analogs suggest such setups often produce narrow ranges between 21–25°C. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,394Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds clustered around 22–24°C, stems primarily from short-range forecast variability for September 13 maximum temperatures in Cape Town. Official guidance from regional models shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting daytime heating while a weak frontal passage introduces timing uncertainty that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations indicate above-average September conditions with fluctuating pressure gradients, and historical analogs suggest such setups often produce narrow ranges between 21–25°C. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,394Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds clustered around 22–24°C, stems primarily from short-range forecast variability for September 13 maximum temperatures in Cape Town. Official guidance from regional models shows mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting daytime heating while a weak frontal passage introduces timing uncertainty that can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent observations indicate above-average September conditions with fluctuating pressure gradients, and historical analogs suggest such setups often produce narrow ranges between 21–25°C. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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