Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the afternoon could limit solar insolation and suppress the maximum, creating the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C that dominates current market-implied odds. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C with frequent convective activity, while recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing of precipitation and any lingering effects from upstream tropical moisture. Updated central weather bureau guidance and next GFS/ECMWF cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 33%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
33%
33°C
27%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 33%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
10%
30°C
$5 Wol.
12%
31°C
$0 Wol.
19%
32°C
$20 Wol.
33%
33°C
$0 Wol.
27%
34°C
$10 Wol.
14%
35°C
$16 Wol.
4%
36°C
$0 Wol.
6%
37°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the afternoon could limit solar insolation and suppress the maximum, creating the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C that dominates current market-implied odds. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C with frequent convective activity, while recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing of precipitation and any lingering effects from upstream tropical moisture. Updated central weather bureau guidance and next GFS/ECMWF cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the afternoon could limit solar insolation and suppress the maximum, creating the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C that dominates current market-implied odds. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C with frequent convective activity, while recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing of precipitation and any lingering effects from upstream tropical moisture. Updated central weather bureau guidance and next GFS/ECMWF cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Taipei on September 14, driven by persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the afternoon could limit solar insolation and suppress the maximum, creating the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C that dominates current market-implied odds. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C with frequent convective activity, while recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing of precipitation and any lingering effects from upstream tropical moisture. Updated central weather bureau guidance and next GFS/ECMWF cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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