Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 65%
14°C 24%
16°C 12%
13°C 2%
NOWE
$18,005 Wol.
NOWE
$18,005 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
24%
15°C
65%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 24%
16°C 12%
13°C 2%
NOWE
$18,005 Wol.
NOWE
$18,005 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$944 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$176 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,487 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,562 Wol.
2%
14°C
$2,611 Wol.
24%
15°C
$5,533 Wol.
65%
16°C
$2,543 Wol.
12%
17°C
$742 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$652 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$471 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,005Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,005Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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