Recent forecast updates from models like those used by European and Brazilian meteorological services indicate a synoptic pattern with increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and northeasterly winds moderating insolation over São Paulo on September 9. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating near 22–24 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those thresholds. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate the 23 °C outcome from higher or lower bins, while historical September averages near 27–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will refine maximum-temperature estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
23°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 21%
25°C or higher 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
26%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
13%
23°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 21%
25°C or higher 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
$423 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$10 Wol.
3%
18°C
$136 Wol.
2%
19°C
$27 Wol.
2%
20°C
$426 Wol.
5%
21°C
$898 Wol.
10%
22°C
$2,224 Wol.
21%
23°C
$501 Wol.
26%
24°C
$418 Wol.
21%
25°C or higher
$700 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like those used by European and Brazilian meteorological services indicate a synoptic pattern with increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and northeasterly winds moderating insolation over São Paulo on September 9. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating near 22–24 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those thresholds. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate the 23 °C outcome from higher or lower bins, while historical September averages near 27–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will refine maximum-temperature estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,904Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like those used by European and Brazilian meteorological services indicate a synoptic pattern with increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and northeasterly winds moderating insolation over São Paulo on September 9. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating near 22–24 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those thresholds. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate the 23 °C outcome from higher or lower bins, while historical September averages near 27–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will refine maximum-temperature estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,904Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models like those used by European and Brazilian meteorological services indicate a synoptic pattern with increased cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and northeasterly winds moderating insolation over São Paulo on September 9. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating near 22–24 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those thresholds. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate the 23 °C outcome from higher or lower bins, while historical September averages near 27–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will refine maximum-temperature estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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