Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Mexico City on September 9 due to typical rainy-season afternoon convection and cloud build-up that caps daytime peaks, while the close 25°C-or-higher share reflects uncertainty over any clearing or reduced precipitation under the intensifying 2026 El Niño. Historical September averages hover near 23–24°C at the city’s 2,250 m elevation, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns from tropical waves or the Mexican monsoon able to push readings a degree higher or lower depending on exact timing of showers. Model spreads in convective timing and humidity profiles create the tight clustering around these thresholds, as even modest differences in insolation or wind can shift the daily maximum. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through the evening of September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
24°C 38%
25°C or higher 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
31%
24°C 38%
25°C or higher 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
$125 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$56 Wol.
2%
20°C
$0 Wol.
2%
21°C
$143 Wol.
2%
22°C
$197 Wol.
6%
23°C
$153 Wol.
20%
24°C
$674 Wol.
38%
25°C or higher
$630 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Mexico City on September 9 due to typical rainy-season afternoon convection and cloud build-up that caps daytime peaks, while the close 25°C-or-higher share reflects uncertainty over any clearing or reduced precipitation under the intensifying 2026 El Niño. Historical September averages hover near 23–24°C at the city’s 2,250 m elevation, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns from tropical waves or the Mexican monsoon able to push readings a degree higher or lower depending on exact timing of showers. Model spreads in convective timing and humidity profiles create the tight clustering around these thresholds, as even modest differences in insolation or wind can shift the daily maximum. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through the evening of September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,354Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Mexico City on September 9 due to typical rainy-season afternoon convection and cloud build-up that caps daytime peaks, while the close 25°C-or-higher share reflects uncertainty over any clearing or reduced precipitation under the intensifying 2026 El Niño. Historical September averages hover near 23–24°C at the city’s 2,250 m elevation, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns from tropical waves or the Mexican monsoon able to push readings a degree higher or lower depending on exact timing of showers. Model spreads in convective timing and humidity profiles create the tight clustering around these thresholds, as even modest differences in insolation or wind can shift the daily maximum. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through the evening of September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,354Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 24°C high in Mexico City on September 9 due to typical rainy-season afternoon convection and cloud build-up that caps daytime peaks, while the close 25°C-or-higher share reflects uncertainty over any clearing or reduced precipitation under the intensifying 2026 El Niño. Historical September averages hover near 23–24°C at the city’s 2,250 m elevation, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns from tropical waves or the Mexican monsoon able to push readings a degree higher or lower depending on exact timing of showers. Model spreads in convective timing and humidity profiles create the tight clustering around these thresholds, as even modest differences in insolation or wind can shift the daily maximum. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through the evening of September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania