**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.** Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
24°C or higher 42%
23°C 37%
22°C 26%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
28%
24°C or higher 42%
23°C 37%
22°C 26%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
15°C
$0 Wol.
4%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$0 Wol.
4%
19°C
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$17 Wol.
7%
21°C
$27 Wol.
11%
22°C
$0 Wol.
26%
23°C
$0 Wol.
37%
24°C or higher
$43 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.**
Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$86Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.**
Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$86Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.** Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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