Recent forecast models from sources including Yr, ECMWF, and GFS indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 7 will likely fall near 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader consensus reflects this range through closely matched probabilities around 11–17°C, while elevated odds on 18°C+ or 8°C or below highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September baselines average 13°C lows, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from tropical moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearing overnight. Updated model runs and CONAGUA observations through the evening of September 6 remain key inputs ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
18°C or higher 69%
8°C or below 59%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
8°C or below
59%
9°C
30%
10°C
29%
11°C
49%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C or higher
69%
18°C or higher 69%
8°C or below 59%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
59%
9°C
$0 Wol.
30%
10°C
$0 Wol.
29%
11°C
$0 Wol.
49%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
49%
17°C
$0 Wol.
49%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Yr, ECMWF, and GFS indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 7 will likely fall near 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader consensus reflects this range through closely matched probabilities around 11–17°C, while elevated odds on 18°C+ or 8°C or below highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September baselines average 13°C lows, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from tropical moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearing overnight. Updated model runs and CONAGUA observations through the evening of September 6 remain key inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Yr, ECMWF, and GFS indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 7 will likely fall near 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader consensus reflects this range through closely matched probabilities around 11–17°C, while elevated odds on 18°C+ or 8°C or below highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September baselines average 13°C lows, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from tropical moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearing overnight. Updated model runs and CONAGUA observations through the evening of September 6 remain key inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Yr, ECMWF, and GFS indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on September 7 will likely fall near 13–15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader consensus reflects this range through closely matched probabilities around 11–17°C, while elevated odds on 18°C+ or 8°C or below highlight model sensitivity to exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity. Historical September baselines average 13°C lows, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from tropical moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on clearing overnight. Updated model runs and CONAGUA observations through the evening of September 6 remain key inputs ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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