**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
14°C 99%
7°C or below 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$674 Wol.
$674 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 99%
7°C or below 20%
8°C 20%
9°C 20%
$674 Wol.
$674 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Wol.
No
8°C
$5 Wol.
No
9°C
$5 Wol.
No
10°C
$5 Wol.
No
11°C
$30 Wol.
No
12°C
$30 Wol.
No
13°C
$35 Wol.
No
14°C
$258 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$140 Wol.
No
16°C
$105 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$56 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$674Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$674Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Cloud cover, precipitation, and radiative cooling under Mexico City's high-altitude rainy-season regime primarily shaped trader views on the September 6 low.** Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness, which limited nighttime heat loss and supported minimums near 12–15 °C. Models converged on roughly 13–14 °C, yet uncertainty over exact rainfall timing, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects kept probabilities tightly split between 14 °C (50.5 %) and lower thresholds (49.5 %). Clearer intervals could have allowed stronger cooling toward single digits, while widespread rain and humidity maintained warmer readings. With resolution imminent, fresh observational data from surface stations will clarify whether conditions matched the higher or lower cluster of market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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