Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN and international ensembles show Mexico City's overnight low on September 22 likely settling near 12–14°C, aligning with the highland city's typical late-September diurnal range driven by radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation under moderate humidity and light winds. Partly cloudy conditions overnight could limit further cooling by trapping heat, while clearer skies or drier air might push readings toward 13°C or below; conversely, increased cloud cover or a slight uptick in moisture supports the market's leading 14°C outcome at 33% implied probability. Trader consensus remains closely split across 13–15°C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local microclimate effects can alter the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September lows average around 12–13°C, providing context for the current positioning amid ongoing model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 22?
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C or higher 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
15%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
21%
12°C
22%
13°C
20%
14°C
33%
15°C or higher
31%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C or higher 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
5°C or below
$606 Wol.
1%
6°C
$10 Wol.
15%
7°C
$10 Wol.
15%
8°C
$10 Wol.
15%
9°C
$10 Wol.
40%
10°C
$10 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
21%
12°C
$0 Wol.
22%
13°C
$24 Wol.
20%
14°C
$3 Wol.
33%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN and international ensembles show Mexico City's overnight low on September 22 likely settling near 12–14°C, aligning with the highland city's typical late-September diurnal range driven by radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation under moderate humidity and light winds. Partly cloudy conditions overnight could limit further cooling by trapping heat, while clearer skies or drier air might push readings toward 13°C or below; conversely, increased cloud cover or a slight uptick in moisture supports the market's leading 14°C outcome at 33% implied probability. Trader consensus remains closely split across 13–15°C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local microclimate effects can alter the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September lows average around 12–13°C, providing context for the current positioning amid ongoing model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$683Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN and international ensembles show Mexico City's overnight low on September 22 likely settling near 12–14°C, aligning with the highland city's typical late-September diurnal range driven by radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation under moderate humidity and light winds. Partly cloudy conditions overnight could limit further cooling by trapping heat, while clearer skies or drier air might push readings toward 13°C or below; conversely, increased cloud cover or a slight uptick in moisture supports the market's leading 14°C outcome at 33% implied probability. Trader consensus remains closely split across 13–15°C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local microclimate effects can alter the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September lows average around 12–13°C, providing context for the current positioning amid ongoing model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$683Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN and international ensembles show Mexico City's overnight low on September 22 likely settling near 12–14°C, aligning with the highland city's typical late-September diurnal range driven by radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters elevation under moderate humidity and light winds. Partly cloudy conditions overnight could limit further cooling by trapping heat, while clearer skies or drier air might push readings toward 13°C or below; conversely, increased cloud cover or a slight uptick in moisture supports the market's leading 14°C outcome at 33% implied probability. Trader consensus remains closely split across 13–15°C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local microclimate effects can alter the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical September lows average around 12–13°C, providing context for the current positioning amid ongoing model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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