Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on September 21, driven by persistent onshore flow from the cool Pacific, a marine layer keeping skies mostly cloudy, and typical early-fall moderation that caps daytime warming. This consensus positions the 66-67°F bin as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 64-65°F and 68-69°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in wind strength and cloud cover. Recent observations from September 20, with a 64°F peak under similar conditions, reinforce expectations of limited deviation, while traders weigh any late-day clearing that could nudge readings slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
66-67°F 46%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
46%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 46%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
61°F or below
$204 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$663 Wol.
4%
64-65°F
$1,829 Wol.
27%
66-67°F
$993 Wol.
46%
68-69°F
$1,720 Wol.
22%
70-71°F
$857 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$219 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$10 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$165 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$287 Wol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$122 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on September 21, driven by persistent onshore flow from the cool Pacific, a marine layer keeping skies mostly cloudy, and typical early-fall moderation that caps daytime warming. This consensus positions the 66-67°F bin as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 64-65°F and 68-69°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in wind strength and cloud cover. Recent observations from September 20, with a 64°F peak under similar conditions, reinforce expectations of limited deviation, while traders weigh any late-day clearing that could nudge readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,068Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on September 21, driven by persistent onshore flow from the cool Pacific, a marine layer keeping skies mostly cloudy, and typical early-fall moderation that caps daytime warming. This consensus positions the 66-67°F bin as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 64-65°F and 68-69°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in wind strength and cloud cover. Recent observations from September 20, with a 64°F peak under similar conditions, reinforce expectations of limited deviation, while traders weigh any late-day clearing that could nudge readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,068Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on September 21, driven by persistent onshore flow from the cool Pacific, a marine layer keeping skies mostly cloudy, and typical early-fall moderation that caps daytime warming. This consensus positions the 66-67°F bin as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 64-65°F and 68-69°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in wind strength and cloud cover. Recent observations from September 20, with a 64°F peak under similar conditions, reinforce expectations of limited deviation, while traders weigh any late-day clearing that could nudge readings slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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