Recent heavy rainfall and a frontal system over eastern Japan on September 20–21 have left forecast models divided on post-frontal warming for Tokyo on September 22. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs show maximum temperatures clustering between 28–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with differences driven by variable northerly flow strength, residual moisture, and afternoon insolation. Some global models project brief clearing that could push readings toward 33–34 °C, while others keep thicker cloud cover capping highs near 28 °C. This spread across the 26–33 °C range produces the market’s near-even implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s final observational maximum. Updated model runs and the evening JMA forecast will likely narrow the range ahead of the 22nd.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
28°C 30%
31°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
28°C 30%
31°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
11%
27°C
$0 Wol.
10%
28°C
$0 Wol.
30%
29°C
$0 Wol.
37%
30°C
$0 Wol.
37%
31°C
$34 Wol.
26%
32°C
$0 Wol.
11%
33°C
$0 Wol.
7%
34°C
$0 Wol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a frontal system over eastern Japan on September 20–21 have left forecast models divided on post-frontal warming for Tokyo on September 22. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs show maximum temperatures clustering between 28–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with differences driven by variable northerly flow strength, residual moisture, and afternoon insolation. Some global models project brief clearing that could push readings toward 33–34 °C, while others keep thicker cloud cover capping highs near 28 °C. This spread across the 26–33 °C range produces the market’s near-even implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s final observational maximum. Updated model runs and the evening JMA forecast will likely narrow the range ahead of the 22nd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a frontal system over eastern Japan on September 20–21 have left forecast models divided on post-frontal warming for Tokyo on September 22. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs show maximum temperatures clustering between 28–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with differences driven by variable northerly flow strength, residual moisture, and afternoon insolation. Some global models project brief clearing that could push readings toward 33–34 °C, while others keep thicker cloud cover capping highs near 28 °C. This spread across the 26–33 °C range produces the market’s near-even implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s final observational maximum. Updated model runs and the evening JMA forecast will likely narrow the range ahead of the 22nd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and a frontal system over eastern Japan on September 20–21 have left forecast models divided on post-frontal warming for Tokyo on September 22. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs show maximum temperatures clustering between 28–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with differences driven by variable northerly flow strength, residual moisture, and afternoon insolation. Some global models project brief clearing that could push readings toward 33–34 °C, while others keep thicker cloud cover capping highs near 28 °C. This spread across the 26–33 °C range produces the market’s near-even implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s final observational maximum. Updated model runs and the evening JMA forecast will likely narrow the range ahead of the 22nd.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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