Latest ensemble model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a primary driver of partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on September 20, supporting trader consensus around 34–36 °C as the most probable peak. High humidity near 60–70 % and light variable winds limit daytime mixing, while differences in cloud timing and coverage across GFS and ECMWF solutions create spread that elevates probabilities for 37–38 °C if solar heating strengthens. Historical September maxima in Guangzhou average near 31–33 °C, so current warmth reflects a persistent warm anomaly; updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
37°C 33%
35°C 27%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
22%
35°C
26%
36°C
25%
37°C
33%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 33%
35°C 27%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C
$0 Wol.
1%
32°C
$4 Wol.
3%
33°C
$0 Wol.
16%
34°C
$5 Wol.
22%
35°C
$152 Wol.
26%
36°C
$0 Wol.
25%
37°C
$0 Wol.
33%
38°C
$0 Wol.
18%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a primary driver of partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on September 20, supporting trader consensus around 34–36 °C as the most probable peak. High humidity near 60–70 % and light variable winds limit daytime mixing, while differences in cloud timing and coverage across GFS and ECMWF solutions create spread that elevates probabilities for 37–38 °C if solar heating strengthens. Historical September maxima in Guangzhou average near 31–33 °C, so current warmth reflects a persistent warm anomaly; updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$160Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a primary driver of partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on September 20, supporting trader consensus around 34–36 °C as the most probable peak. High humidity near 60–70 % and light variable winds limit daytime mixing, while differences in cloud timing and coverage across GFS and ECMWF solutions create spread that elevates probabilities for 37–38 °C if solar heating strengthens. Historical September maxima in Guangzhou average near 31–33 °C, so current warmth reflects a persistent warm anomaly; updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$160Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a primary driver of partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on September 20, supporting trader consensus around 34–36 °C as the most probable peak. High humidity near 60–70 % and light variable winds limit daytime mixing, while differences in cloud timing and coverage across GFS and ECMWF solutions create spread that elevates probabilities for 37–38 °C if solar heating strengthens. Historical September maxima in Guangzhou average near 31–33 °C, so current warmth reflects a persistent warm anomaly; updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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