**Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection and variable cloud cover is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s September 18 high.** Official and ensemble guidance shows daytime maxima typically reaching 31–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with recent observations on the 17th recording peaks near 32–34°C amid hazy, humid conditions. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in September’s wet season, can limit solar heating and cap temperatures near 32°C if they develop early or extensively, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical September averages hover around 32–33°C, and the narrow spread in trader consensus reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and coverage rather than broader climatic shifts. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective initiation will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 18?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 18?
33°C 37%
32°C 28%
34°C 24%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
28%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 28%
34°C 24%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$543 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$135 Wol.
1%
30°C
$298 Wol.
2%
31°C
$869 Wol.
12%
32°C
$704 Wol.
28%
33°C
$844 Wol.
37%
34°C
$1,172 Wol.
24%
35°C
$325 Wol.
3%
36°C
$240 Wol.
2%
37°C
$149 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$259 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection and variable cloud cover is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s September 18 high.**
Official and ensemble guidance shows daytime maxima typically reaching 31–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with recent observations on the 17th recording peaks near 32–34°C amid hazy, humid conditions. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in September’s wet season, can limit solar heating and cap temperatures near 32°C if they develop early or extensively, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical September averages hover around 32–33°C, and the narrow spread in trader consensus reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and coverage rather than broader climatic shifts. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective initiation will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,537Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection and variable cloud cover is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s September 18 high.**
Official and ensemble guidance shows daytime maxima typically reaching 31–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with recent observations on the 17th recording peaks near 32–34°C amid hazy, humid conditions. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in September’s wet season, can limit solar heating and cap temperatures near 32°C if they develop early or extensively, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical September averages hover around 32–33°C, and the narrow spread in trader consensus reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and coverage rather than broader climatic shifts. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective initiation will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,537Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convection and variable cloud cover is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s September 18 high.** Official and ensemble guidance shows daytime maxima typically reaching 31–34°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with recent observations on the 17th recording peaks near 32–34°C amid hazy, humid conditions. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in September’s wet season, can limit solar heating and cap temperatures near 32°C if they develop early or extensively, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical September averages hover around 32–33°C, and the narrow spread in trader consensus reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and coverage rather than broader climatic shifts. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective initiation will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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