**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a San Francisco high temperature on September 16 in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, with the 66–69°F range capturing the bulk of trader probability.** Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate-to-strong onshore southwest winds are suppressing daytime heating, keeping readings below the long-term September 16 average of 70.8°F. Coastal upwelling maintains cool ocean surface temperatures that fuel sea-breeze circulation, while partial cloud cover further limits solar warming. Minor model differences in the timing and depth of the marine layer or wind speed explain the tight split between the 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins. Historical analogs from recent Septembers show similar setups rarely produce outliers above 72°F or below 64°F, reinforcing the narrow distribution traders have priced.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 37%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 37%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
$280 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$84 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$20 Wol.
5%
64-65°F
$242 Wol.
10%
66-67°F
$462 Wol.
37%
68-69°F
$771 Wol.
39%
70-71°F
$459 Wol.
11%
72-73°F
$21 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$21 Wol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$21 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a San Francisco high temperature on September 16 in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, with the 66–69°F range capturing the bulk of trader probability.** Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate-to-strong onshore southwest winds are suppressing daytime heating, keeping readings below the long-term September 16 average of 70.8°F. Coastal upwelling maintains cool ocean surface temperatures that fuel sea-breeze circulation, while partial cloud cover further limits solar warming. Minor model differences in the timing and depth of the marine layer or wind speed explain the tight split between the 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins. Historical analogs from recent Septembers show similar setups rarely produce outliers above 72°F or below 64°F, reinforcing the narrow distribution traders have priced.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,381Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a San Francisco high temperature on September 16 in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, with the 66–69°F range capturing the bulk of trader probability.** Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate-to-strong onshore southwest winds are suppressing daytime heating, keeping readings below the long-term September 16 average of 70.8°F. Coastal upwelling maintains cool ocean surface temperatures that fuel sea-breeze circulation, while partial cloud cover further limits solar warming. Minor model differences in the timing and depth of the marine layer or wind speed explain the tight split between the 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins. Historical analogs from recent Septembers show similar setups rarely produce outliers above 72°F or below 64°F, reinforcing the narrow distribution traders have priced.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,381Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a San Francisco high temperature on September 16 in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, with the 66–69°F range capturing the bulk of trader probability.** Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate-to-strong onshore southwest winds are suppressing daytime heating, keeping readings below the long-term September 16 average of 70.8°F. Coastal upwelling maintains cool ocean surface temperatures that fuel sea-breeze circulation, while partial cloud cover further limits solar warming. Minor model differences in the timing and depth of the marine layer or wind speed explain the tight split between the 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins. Historical analogs from recent Septembers show similar setups rarely produce outliers above 72°F or below 64°F, reinforcing the narrow distribution traders have priced.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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