**Recent model consensus points to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and showers on September 15, keeping Taipei’s daytime maximum near or below 30 °C.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical forecasts show highs of 27–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 70–95 % rain probability, driven by a strengthening northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal boundary. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 13–14 (highs 31–33 °C). Persistent cloudiness limits surface heating while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift odds toward either the lower or higher end of the current distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
31°C 40%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
20%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C
24%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 40%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Wol.
4%
25°C
$10 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
17%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$0 Wol.
14%
29°C
$0 Wol.
21%
30°C
$0 Wol.
22%
31°C
$6 Wol.
24%
32°C
$0 Wol.
18%
33°C
$10 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$10 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and showers on September 15, keeping Taipei’s daytime maximum near or below 30 °C.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical forecasts show highs of 27–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 70–95 % rain probability, driven by a strengthening northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal boundary. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 13–14 (highs 31–33 °C). Persistent cloudiness limits surface heating while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift odds toward either the lower or higher end of the current distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and showers on September 15, keeping Taipei’s daytime maximum near or below 30 °C.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical forecasts show highs of 27–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 70–95 % rain probability, driven by a strengthening northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal boundary. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 13–14 (highs 31–33 °C). Persistent cloudiness limits surface heating while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift odds toward either the lower or higher end of the current distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and showers on September 15, keeping Taipei’s daytime maximum near or below 30 °C.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical forecasts show highs of 27–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 70–95 % rain probability, driven by a strengthening northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal boundary. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions observed on September 13–14 (highs 31–33 °C). Persistent cloudiness limits surface heating while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift odds toward either the lower or higher end of the current distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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