Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
23°C 51%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
18°C or below 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
17%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
51%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
8%
23°C 51%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
18°C or below 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Wol.
17%
19°C
$10 Wol.
4%
20°C
$10 Wol.
7%
21°C
$0 Wol.
12%
22°C
$36 Wol.
24%
23°C
$35 Wol.
51%
24°C
$0 Wol.
19%
25°C
$0 Wol.
9%
26°C
$10 Wol.
4%
27°C
$10 Wol.
4%
28°C or higher
$10 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$126Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$126Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent influx of cooler northerly air from the Balkans, accompanied by widespread showers and thunderstorms, has driven a 4–8°C temperature drop across Istanbul since early September, shifting trader focus toward subdued maxima for September 15. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited daytime heating, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks near 28°C and the current 24–25°C baseline. Persistent northeasterly winds and elevated cloud cover further suppress surface temperatures, while any heavier rainfall bands could cap readings closer to 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this cooling trajectory and model consensus ahead of final observational data on the 15th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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