Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating across São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the month’s typical 23°C average. Multiple forecast models from sources including INMET-aligned guidance and international ensembles converge on a high near 16–17°C under overcast skies with dew points near 14–15°C and light-to-moderate precipitation totals. Limited solar insolation and high humidity reduce the potential for brief warming spikes, while any model disagreement centers on the exact timing of heaviest rain or possible brief cloud breaks that could allow a marginal push toward 18°C. Historical September maxima under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 16–18°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
17°C 37%
18°C 28%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
15%
17°C
37%
18°C
28%
19°C
10%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 28%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$25 Wol.
1%
13°C
$0 Wol.
1%
14°C
$5 Wol.
3%
15°C
$60 Wol.
4%
16°C
$178 Wol.
15%
17°C
$293 Wol.
37%
18°C
$74 Wol.
28%
19°C
$333 Wol.
10%
20°C
$17 Wol.
4%
21°C
$118 Wol.
2%
22°C or higher
$318 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating across São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the month’s typical 23°C average. Multiple forecast models from sources including INMET-aligned guidance and international ensembles converge on a high near 16–17°C under overcast skies with dew points near 14–15°C and light-to-moderate precipitation totals. Limited solar insolation and high humidity reduce the potential for brief warming spikes, while any model disagreement centers on the exact timing of heaviest rain or possible brief cloud breaks that could allow a marginal push toward 18°C. Historical September maxima under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 16–18°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,420Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating across São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the month’s typical 23°C average. Multiple forecast models from sources including INMET-aligned guidance and international ensembles converge on a high near 16–17°C under overcast skies with dew points near 14–15°C and light-to-moderate precipitation totals. Limited solar insolation and high humidity reduce the potential for brief warming spikes, while any model disagreement centers on the exact timing of heaviest rain or possible brief cloud breaks that could allow a marginal push toward 18°C. Historical September maxima under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 16–18°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,420Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating across São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the month’s typical 23°C average. Multiple forecast models from sources including INMET-aligned guidance and international ensembles converge on a high near 16–17°C under overcast skies with dew points near 14–15°C and light-to-moderate precipitation totals. Limited solar insolation and high humidity reduce the potential for brief warming spikes, while any model disagreement centers on the exact timing of heaviest rain or possible brief cloud breaks that could allow a marginal push toward 18°C. Historical September maxima under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C, reinforcing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 16–18°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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