Recent forecast consensus from global models points to mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 19, with daytime highs expected near 25–26°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average maxima hover around 23–25°C, though recent days have trended slightly cooler amid variable showers. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (47.5% implied probability) alongside balanced odds on 23°C and 25°C reflects model spread in peak timing and local microclimate effects, with limited upside risk above 26°C given stable high-pressure dominance and no incoming warm advection signals. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
24°C 52%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
40%
24°C
52%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 52%
23°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$0 Wol.
7%
22°C
$0 Wol.
21%
23°C
$3 Wol.
40%
24°C
$39 Wol.
52%
25°C
$0 Wol.
40%
26°C
$0 Wol.
39%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$0 Wol.
7%
29°C
$0 Wol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 19, with daytime highs expected near 25–26°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average maxima hover around 23–25°C, though recent days have trended slightly cooler amid variable showers. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (47.5% implied probability) alongside balanced odds on 23°C and 25°C reflects model spread in peak timing and local microclimate effects, with limited upside risk above 26°C given stable high-pressure dominance and no incoming warm advection signals. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 19, with daytime highs expected near 25–26°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average maxima hover around 23–25°C, though recent days have trended slightly cooler amid variable showers. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (47.5% implied probability) alongside balanced odds on 23°C and 25°C reflects model spread in peak timing and local microclimate effects, with limited upside risk above 26°C given stable high-pressure dominance and no incoming warm advection signals. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models points to mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 19, with daytime highs expected near 25–26°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average maxima hover around 23–25°C, though recent days have trended slightly cooler amid variable showers. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (47.5% implied probability) alongside balanced odds on 23°C and 25°C reflects model spread in peak timing and local microclimate effects, with limited upside risk above 26°C given stable high-pressure dominance and no incoming warm advection signals. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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