Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 75–78°F for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77°F bin’s 60.5% market-implied probability. Persistent marine-layer stratus and morning fog, reinforced by onshore southwest flow, limit daytime heating along the coast while allowing partial afternoon clearing. This setup matches the 1991–2020 average high of 76.2°F and recent years’ readings clustered in the mid-70s. Light winds and modest humidity further cap warming, keeping odds of 80°F or higher below 3%. Updated model runs through early morning showed no significant warming trend, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal norm ahead of any evening data release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
76-77°F 61%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 16%
80-81°F 2%
NOWE
$21,726 Wol.
NOWE
$21,726 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
61%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 61%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 16%
80-81°F 2%
NOWE
$21,726 Wol.
NOWE
$21,726 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
$353 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$253 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$413 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$563 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$993 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$5,886 Wol.
22%
76-77°F
$4,362 Wol.
61%
78-79°F
$6,236 Wol.
16%
80-81°F
$1,908 Wol.
2%
82-83°F
$899 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$227 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 75–78°F for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77°F bin’s 60.5% market-implied probability. Persistent marine-layer stratus and morning fog, reinforced by onshore southwest flow, limit daytime heating along the coast while allowing partial afternoon clearing. This setup matches the 1991–2020 average high of 76.2°F and recent years’ readings clustered in the mid-70s. Light winds and modest humidity further cap warming, keeping odds of 80°F or higher below 3%. Updated model runs through early morning showed no significant warming trend, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal norm ahead of any evening data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,726Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 75–78°F for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77°F bin’s 60.5% market-implied probability. Persistent marine-layer stratus and morning fog, reinforced by onshore southwest flow, limit daytime heating along the coast while allowing partial afternoon clearing. This setup matches the 1991–2020 average high of 76.2°F and recent years’ readings clustered in the mid-70s. Light winds and modest humidity further cap warming, keeping odds of 80°F or higher below 3%. Updated model runs through early morning showed no significant warming trend, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal norm ahead of any evening data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,726Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high near 75–78°F for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77°F bin’s 60.5% market-implied probability. Persistent marine-layer stratus and morning fog, reinforced by onshore southwest flow, limit daytime heating along the coast while allowing partial afternoon clearing. This setup matches the 1991–2020 average high of 76.2°F and recent years’ readings clustered in the mid-70s. Light winds and modest humidity further cap warming, keeping odds of 80°F or higher below 3%. Updated model runs through early morning showed no significant warming trend, reinforcing trader consensus around the seasonal norm ahead of any evening data release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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