Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low in Miami on September 18 most likely between 76–78°F, consistent with the historical average of 76.8°F for the date. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75–77°F, and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit radiational cooling and keep the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact hourly low depending on the timing and coverage of showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 74–77°F bins. No cold-air advection or atypical steering patterns are present to push temperatures toward the lower-probability sub-74°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model cycle tonight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Wol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
4%
72-73°F
$96 Wol.
10%
74-75°F
$144 Wol.
31%
76-77°F
$523 Wol.
43%
78-79°F
$932 Wol.
21%
80-81°F
$61 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
4%
86-87°F
$61 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$361 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low in Miami on September 18 most likely between 76–78°F, consistent with the historical average of 76.8°F for the date. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75–77°F, and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit radiational cooling and keep the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact hourly low depending on the timing and coverage of showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 74–77°F bins. No cold-air advection or atypical steering patterns are present to push temperatures toward the lower-probability sub-74°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model cycle tonight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,178Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low in Miami on September 18 most likely between 76–78°F, consistent with the historical average of 76.8°F for the date. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75–77°F, and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit radiational cooling and keep the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact hourly low depending on the timing and coverage of showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 74–77°F bins. No cold-air advection or atypical steering patterns are present to push temperatures toward the lower-probability sub-74°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model cycle tonight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,178Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low in Miami on September 18 most likely between 76–78°F, consistent with the historical average of 76.8°F for the date. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75–77°F, and scattered cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit radiational cooling and keep the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact hourly low depending on the timing and coverage of showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 74–77°F bins. No cold-air advection or atypical steering patterns are present to push temperatures toward the lower-probability sub-74°F outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model cycle tonight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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