**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,594 Wol.
$83,594 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,594 Wol.
$83,594 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
$459 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$253 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$685 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$761 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,853 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6,357 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$25,832 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$18,415 Wol.
100%
32°C
$18,034 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$6,635 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,309 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.**
Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$83,594Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.**
Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$83,594Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania