Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a low around 51–55°F for Denver on September 19, driven by scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that limit radiational cooling overnight following a period of above-average daytime highs near 80°F. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 52–57°F bins reflects modest divergence among guidance on exact storm timing, wind speeds, and dew-point values, which control how much the temperature drops after sunset. Historical September averages near 48°F provide context, but persistent moisture and weak frontal influences this week have kept readings several degrees higher. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Denver on September 19?
52-53°F 38%
56-57°F 30%
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 19%
49°F or below
9%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
5%
52-53°F 38%
56-57°F 30%
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 19%
49°F or below
9%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a low around 51–55°F for Denver on September 19, driven by scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that limit radiational cooling overnight following a period of above-average daytime highs near 80°F. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 52–57°F bins reflects modest divergence among guidance on exact storm timing, wind speeds, and dew-point values, which control how much the temperature drops after sunset. Historical September averages near 48°F provide context, but persistent moisture and weak frontal influences this week have kept readings several degrees higher. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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