**Persistent tropical moisture and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Miami's high temperature on September 19, 2026, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 86–89°F.** Official National Weather Service forecasts project upper-80s readings (around 87–88°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with a 40–70% chance of showers and storms driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-September climatological average high near 89°F. Light variable winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 90°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus around 87–88°F against the modest upside risk from variable storm timing, consistent with the closely matched leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on September 19?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 19?
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
77°F or below
$125 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$343 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$246 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$870 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$1,037 Wol.
6%
86-87°F
$1,157 Wol.
32%
88-89°F
$1,425 Wol.
49%
90-91°F
$1,540 Wol.
18%
92-93°F
$623 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$268 Wol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$183 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Miami's high temperature on September 19, 2026, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 86–89°F.** Official National Weather Service forecasts project upper-80s readings (around 87–88°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with a 40–70% chance of showers and storms driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-September climatological average high near 89°F. Light variable winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 90°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus around 87–88°F against the modest upside risk from variable storm timing, consistent with the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,816Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Miami's high temperature on September 19, 2026, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 86–89°F.** Official National Weather Service forecasts project upper-80s readings (around 87–88°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with a 40–70% chance of showers and storms driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-September climatological average high near 89°F. Light variable winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 90°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus around 87–88°F against the modest upside risk from variable storm timing, consistent with the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,816Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Miami's high temperature on September 19, 2026, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on 86–89°F.** Official National Weather Service forecasts project upper-80s readings (around 87–88°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with a 40–70% chance of showers and storms driven by an upper-level low and easterly flow. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-September climatological average high near 89°F. Light variable winds and high humidity further moderate peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief pushes toward 90°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus around 87–88°F against the modest upside risk from variable storm timing, consistent with the closely matched leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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