Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, light winds near 5 mph, and limited radiative cooling beneath partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 20% thunderstorm chance. This setup keeps surface temperatures from falling as sharply as under clear, drier conditions typical for mid-September. Minor differences among model runs center on exact cloud cover timing and any localized outflow boundaries, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or lower and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 78–81°F and 76–77°F bins. Updated guidance ahead of the evening hours on the 19th and early 20th will refine these details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Dallas on September 20?
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
69°F or below
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 39%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
69°F or below
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on an overnight low in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 20, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, light winds near 5 mph, and limited radiative cooling beneath partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 20% thunderstorm chance. This setup keeps surface temperatures from falling as sharply as under clear, drier conditions typical for mid-September. Minor differences among model runs center on exact cloud cover timing and any localized outflow boundaries, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two higher or lower and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 78–81°F and 76–77°F bins. Updated guidance ahead of the evening hours on the 19th and early 20th will refine these details.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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