Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, which limits afternoon heating while allowing sufficient insolation for seasonal norms. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 29°C (24%) and 27°C (20%) reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or model spread. September climatology shows typical highs around 26–28°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences, and recent stable guidance through September 17 supports limited upside risk above 29°C given the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official meteorological consensus signals heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 18?
28°C 55%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
20%
28°C
55%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$251 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$655 Wol.
1%
26°C
$645 Wol.
2%
27°C
$1,441 Wol.
20%
28°C
$2,508 Wol.
55%
29°C
$2,343 Wol.
24%
30°C
$697 Wol.
3%
31°C
$315 Wol.
1%
32°C
$494 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$357 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$193 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, which limits afternoon heating while allowing sufficient insolation for seasonal norms. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 29°C (24%) and 27°C (20%) reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or model spread. September climatology shows typical highs around 26–28°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences, and recent stable guidance through September 17 supports limited upside risk above 29°C given the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official meteorological consensus signals heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,892Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, which limits afternoon heating while allowing sufficient insolation for seasonal norms. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 29°C (24%) and 27°C (20%) reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or model spread. September climatology shows typical highs around 26–28°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences, and recent stable guidance through September 17 supports limited upside risk above 29°C given the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official meteorological consensus signals heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,892Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow, which limits afternoon heating while allowing sufficient insolation for seasonal norms. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 29°C (24%) and 27°C (20%) reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or model spread. September climatology shows typical highs around 26–28°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences, and recent stable guidance through September 17 supports limited upside risk above 29°C given the absence of stronger southerly advection or clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official meteorological consensus signals heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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