Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
23°C 23%
24°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
23%
24°C
22%
25°C
18%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 23%
24°C 22%
25°C 18%
22°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$0 Wol.
4%
19°C
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$0 Wol.
7%
21°C
$0 Wol.
6%
22°C
$0 Wol.
12%
23°C
$0 Wol.
23%
24°C
$164 Wol.
22%
25°C
$0 Wol.
18%
26°C
$0 Wol.
11%
27°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$164Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$164Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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