**Forecast consensus points to a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (19°C at 69.5%, 18°C at 23%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, globalmeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office, project an afternoon high near 18–19°C (roughly 64–66°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of ~18.9°C at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear-sky heating. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure support limited temperature variability, keeping extremes (20°C or above, or 17°C or below) at low implied probabilities. Updated runs show no major model disagreement or rapid changes expected overnight into the 18th, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 18–19°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 70%
18°C 23%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
23%
19°C
70%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 23%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$149 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$229 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$154 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$571 Wol.
3%
18°C
$807 Wol.
23%
19°C
$2,088 Wol.
70%
20°C
$666 Wol.
4%
21°C
$264 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$149 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$536 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (19°C at 69.5%, 18°C at 23%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, globalmeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office, project an afternoon high near 18–19°C (roughly 64–66°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of ~18.9°C at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear-sky heating. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure support limited temperature variability, keeping extremes (20°C or above, or 17°C or below) at low implied probabilities. Updated runs show no major model disagreement or rapid changes expected overnight into the 18th, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 18–19°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,763Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (19°C at 69.5%, 18°C at 23%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, globalmeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office, project an afternoon high near 18–19°C (roughly 64–66°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of ~18.9°C at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear-sky heating. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure support limited temperature variability, keeping extremes (20°C or above, or 17°C or below) at low implied probabilities. Updated runs show no major model disagreement or rapid changes expected overnight into the 18th, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 18–19°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,763Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (19°C at 69.5%, 18°C at 23%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, globalmeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office, project an afternoon high near 18–19°C (roughly 64–66°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of ~18.9°C at Schiphol, without significant warm advection or clear-sky heating. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure support limited temperature variability, keeping extremes (20°C or above, or 17°C or below) at low implied probabilities. Updated runs show no major model disagreement or rapid changes expected overnight into the 18th, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 18–19°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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