Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles points to a daily minimum of 12–14°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability while keeping 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher near 47–50%. Spring climatology shows typical minima around 10–13°C, so current guidance aligns closely with historical norms absent any strong cold-air advection or cloud-cover changes that could shift the range. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
18°C or higher 100%
8°C or below 92%
14°C 92%
9°C 75%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
92%
9°C
75%
10°C
39%
11°C
45%
12°C
54%
13°C
19%
14°C
92%
15°C
35%
16°C
35%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
100%
18°C or higher 100%
8°C or below 92%
14°C 92%
9°C 75%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
92%
9°C
$0 Wol.
75%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
45%
12°C
$0 Wol.
54%
13°C
$7 Wol.
19%
14°C
$0 Wol.
92%
15°C
$0 Wol.
35%
16°C
$0 Wol.
35%
17°C
$0 Wol.
13%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles points to a daily minimum of 12–14°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability while keeping 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher near 47–50%. Spring climatology shows typical minima around 10–13°C, so current guidance aligns closely with historical norms absent any strong cold-air advection or cloud-cover changes that could shift the range. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles points to a daily minimum of 12–14°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability while keeping 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher near 47–50%. Spring climatology shows typical minima around 10–13°C, so current guidance aligns closely with historical norms absent any strong cold-air advection or cloud-cover changes that could shift the range. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles points to a daily minimum of 12–14°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability while keeping 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher near 47–50%. Spring climatology shows typical minima around 10–13°C, so current guidance aligns closely with historical norms absent any strong cold-air advection or cloud-cover changes that could shift the range. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania