**Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daytime high near 22–23°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by northeasterly flow off the Atlantic and increasing solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere spring transition.** Partial cloud cover and a stable pressure gradient are limiting stronger warming, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and light winds moderate the peak. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September maxima around 18–20°C, with the tight clustering between 22°C and 24°C reflecting modest uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official SMN updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
23°C 34%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
20%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 34%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$149 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$149 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$199 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$147 Wol.
1%
20°C
$432 Wol.
1%
21°C
$353 Wol.
8%
22°C
$1,818 Wol.
28%
23°C
$430 Wol.
34%
24°C
$623 Wol.
20%
25°C
$608 Wol.
11%
26°C or higher
$232 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daytime high near 22–23°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by northeasterly flow off the Atlantic and increasing solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere spring transition.** Partial cloud cover and a stable pressure gradient are limiting stronger warming, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and light winds moderate the peak. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September maxima around 18–20°C, with the tight clustering between 22°C and 24°C reflecting modest uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official SMN updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,141Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daytime high near 22–23°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by northeasterly flow off the Atlantic and increasing solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere spring transition.** Partial cloud cover and a stable pressure gradient are limiting stronger warming, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and light winds moderate the peak. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September maxima around 18–20°C, with the tight clustering between 22°C and 24°C reflecting modest uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official SMN updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,141Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles point to a daytime high near 22–23°C in Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by northeasterly flow off the Atlantic and increasing solar insolation during the Southern Hemisphere spring transition.** Partial cloud cover and a stable pressure gradient are limiting stronger warming, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and light winds moderate the peak. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September maxima around 18–20°C, with the tight clustering between 22°C and 24°C reflecting modest uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official SMN updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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