Atmospheric patterns featuring a mid-level low off the U.S. West Coast, lingering frontal boundaries, and precipitable water values 4–4.5 standard deviations above normal are driving scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms across parts of the country on September 17. National Weather Service and NOAA outlooks indicate moderate excessive rainfall risk in southern and central Arizona plus the Sacramento Mountains, with slight risks extending to the northern Plains and Upper Midwest; high-resolution models project localized totals exceeding 2 inches. In the Midwest, Chicago faces a high probability of measurable precipitation under these conditions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market-implied odds. India Meteorological Department forecasts align with widespread activity in Bihar, West Bengal, the Northeast, Gujarat, and southern states, while UK guidance shows 90–95% precipitation chances in Scotland and northern England. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine exact accumulation thresholds for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on September 17?
New York, NY
38%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
99%
Houston, TX
38%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
26%
Denver, CO
48%
Washington, DC
38%
Atlanta, GA
25%
Miami, FL
96%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
49%
San Francisco, CA
11%
$771 Wol.
New York, NY
38%
Los Angeles, CA
25%
Chicago, IL
99%
Houston, TX
38%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
26%
Denver, CO
48%
Washington, DC
38%
Atlanta, GA
25%
Miami, FL
96%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
49%
San Francisco, CA
11%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Atmospheric patterns featuring a mid-level low off the U.S. West Coast, lingering frontal boundaries, and precipitable water values 4–4.5 standard deviations above normal are driving scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms across parts of the country on September 17. National Weather Service and NOAA outlooks indicate moderate excessive rainfall risk in southern and central Arizona plus the Sacramento Mountains, with slight risks extending to the northern Plains and Upper Midwest; high-resolution models project localized totals exceeding 2 inches. In the Midwest, Chicago faces a high probability of measurable precipitation under these conditions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market-implied odds. India Meteorological Department forecasts align with widespread activity in Bihar, West Bengal, the Northeast, Gujarat, and southern states, while UK guidance shows 90–95% precipitation chances in Scotland and northern England. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine exact accumulation thresholds for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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