**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate overnight lows around 13–14°C for Amsterdam on September 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and rain that limit radiative cooling.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around 12–14°C (collectively over 70% implied), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn Atlantic influences rather than clear-sky radiative drops toward the 10.9°C historical average low. Southerly winds and high humidity further support minimums several degrees above seasonal norms, while the modest 37% on 18°C+ captures residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for slightly warmer advection. With resolution imminent and no major forecast shifts in the past 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily against historical baselines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
18°C or higher 83%
15°C 37%
16°C 37%
12°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
14%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
20%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
14%
18°C or higher
83%
18°C or higher 83%
15°C 37%
16°C 37%
12°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
9°C
$0 Wol.
8%
10°C
$0 Wol.
9%
11°C
$0 Wol.
14%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
20%
15°C
$0 Wol.
37%
16°C
$0 Wol.
37%
17°C
$0 Wol.
14%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate overnight lows around 13–14°C for Amsterdam on September 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and rain that limit radiative cooling.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around 12–14°C (collectively over 70% implied), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn Atlantic influences rather than clear-sky radiative drops toward the 10.9°C historical average low. Southerly winds and high humidity further support minimums several degrees above seasonal norms, while the modest 37% on 18°C+ captures residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for slightly warmer advection. With resolution imminent and no major forecast shifts in the past 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily against historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate overnight lows around 13–14°C for Amsterdam on September 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and rain that limit radiative cooling.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around 12–14°C (collectively over 70% implied), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn Atlantic influences rather than clear-sky radiative drops toward the 10.9°C historical average low. Southerly winds and high humidity further support minimums several degrees above seasonal norms, while the modest 37% on 18°C+ captures residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for slightly warmer advection. With resolution imminent and no major forecast shifts in the past 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily against historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate overnight lows around 13–14°C for Amsterdam on September 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and rain that limit radiative cooling.** This aligns with the market’s elevated probabilities clustered around 12–14°C (collectively over 70% implied), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn Atlantic influences rather than clear-sky radiative drops toward the 10.9°C historical average low. Southerly winds and high humidity further support minimums several degrees above seasonal norms, while the modest 37% on 18°C+ captures residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for slightly warmer advection. With resolution imminent and no major forecast shifts in the past 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily against historical baselines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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