Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a peak of 27°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are suppressing convective activity and allowing efficient daytime heating, consistent with late-summer conditions slightly above the 24–25°C climatological September average. Ensemble guidance shows little spread, with most runs clustering between 26–28°C, explaining the combined 92%+ probability on those three bins. No major model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter this consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
27°C 54%
26°C 23%
28°C 14%
25°C 7%
NOWE
$16,431 Wol.
NOWE
$16,431 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
54%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 23%
28°C 14%
25°C 7%
NOWE
$16,431 Wol.
NOWE
$16,431 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$484 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$938 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$818 Wol.
1%
25°C
$1,785 Wol.
7%
26°C
$3,797 Wol.
23%
27°C
$3,604 Wol.
54%
28°C
$2,847 Wol.
14%
29°C
$1,030 Wol.
4%
30°C
$552 Wol.
1%
31°C
$247 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$329 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a peak of 27°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are suppressing convective activity and allowing efficient daytime heating, consistent with late-summer conditions slightly above the 24–25°C climatological September average. Ensemble guidance shows little spread, with most runs clustering between 26–28°C, explaining the combined 92%+ probability on those three bins. No major model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter this consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,431Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a peak of 27°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are suppressing convective activity and allowing efficient daytime heating, consistent with late-summer conditions slightly above the 24–25°C climatological September average. Ensemble guidance shows little spread, with most runs clustering between 26–28°C, explaining the combined 92%+ probability on those three bins. No major model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter this consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,431Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate a peak of 27°C for Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover are suppressing convective activity and allowing efficient daytime heating, consistent with late-summer conditions slightly above the 24–25°C climatological September average. Ensemble guidance shows little spread, with most runs clustering between 26–28°C, explaining the combined 92%+ probability on those three bins. No major model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter this consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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