Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's afternoon high on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those thresholds. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, typical September highs average near 24°C during the late rainy season, when reduced cloud cover can allow stronger solar heating while scattered showers moderate extremes. Hourly data showing temperatures climbing from morning lows near 13°C to afternoon peaks around 23°C align with this consensus, though model spreads and evolving precipitation introduce modest uncertainty that keeps lower outcomes priced thinly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
25°C or higher 60%
24°C 36%
23°C 7%
22°C 3%
$24,224 Wol.
$24,224 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
60%
25°C or higher 60%
24°C 36%
23°C 7%
22°C 3%
$24,224 Wol.
$24,224 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's afternoon high on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those thresholds. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, typical September highs average near 24°C during the late rainy season, when reduced cloud cover can allow stronger solar heating while scattered showers moderate extremes. Hourly data showing temperatures climbing from morning lows near 13°C to afternoon peaks around 23°C align with this consensus, though model spreads and evolving precipitation introduce modest uncertainty that keeps lower outcomes priced thinly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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