Trader consensus in the Houston highest-temperature market centers on forecasts for sunny skies and light easterly winds on September 18 that favor peak readings in the mid-90s, with 94–95°F holding a slim edge in implied probability over 92–93°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate clearing after scattered activity on the 17th, allowing stronger daytime heating under high pressure, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak insolation keep the two leading bins closely matched. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but current conditions align with warmer recent analogs. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected overnight and early on the 18th will likely refine the final observed high before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 18?
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
81°F or below
$591 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$538 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$121 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$41 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$14 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,977 Wol.
6%
92-93°F
$2,308 Wol.
55%
94-95°F
$2,482 Wol.
36%
96-97°F
$217 Wol.
5%
98-99°F
$7 Wol.
1%
100°F or higher
$74 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Houston highest-temperature market centers on forecasts for sunny skies and light easterly winds on September 18 that favor peak readings in the mid-90s, with 94–95°F holding a slim edge in implied probability over 92–93°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate clearing after scattered activity on the 17th, allowing stronger daytime heating under high pressure, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak insolation keep the two leading bins closely matched. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but current conditions align with warmer recent analogs. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected overnight and early on the 18th will likely refine the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,370Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Houston highest-temperature market centers on forecasts for sunny skies and light easterly winds on September 18 that favor peak readings in the mid-90s, with 94–95°F holding a slim edge in implied probability over 92–93°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate clearing after scattered activity on the 17th, allowing stronger daytime heating under high pressure, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak insolation keep the two leading bins closely matched. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but current conditions align with warmer recent analogs. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected overnight and early on the 18th will likely refine the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,370Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Houston highest-temperature market centers on forecasts for sunny skies and light easterly winds on September 18 that favor peak readings in the mid-90s, with 94–95°F holding a slim edge in implied probability over 92–93°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate clearing after scattered activity on the 17th, allowing stronger daytime heating under high pressure, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak insolation keep the two leading bins closely matched. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but current conditions align with warmer recent analogs. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions expected overnight and early on the 18th will likely refine the final observed high before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania