Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. A cold front passing on the 17th has introduced cooler air, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation, which limit daytime solar heating and suppress temperatures below the warmer 23–25°C readings observed on the 16th. These conditions match typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, with traders weighting consensus guidance on cloud thickness and wind patterns most heavily.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
21°C 44%
22°C 26%
19°C 14%
20°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
44%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
7%
21°C 44%
22°C 26%
19°C 14%
20°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$0 Wol.
10%
19°C
$0 Wol.
14%
20°C
$10 Wol.
13%
21°C
$89 Wol.
44%
22°C
$0 Wol.
26%
23°C
$0 Wol.
7%
24°C
$0 Wol.
5%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. A cold front passing on the 17th has introduced cooler air, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation, which limit daytime solar heating and suppress temperatures below the warmer 23–25°C readings observed on the 16th. These conditions match typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, with traders weighting consensus guidance on cloud thickness and wind patterns most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. A cold front passing on the 17th has introduced cooler air, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation, which limit daytime solar heating and suppress temperatures below the warmer 23–25°C readings observed on the 16th. These conditions match typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, with traders weighting consensus guidance on cloud thickness and wind patterns most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. A cold front passing on the 17th has introduced cooler air, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation, which limit daytime solar heating and suppress temperatures below the warmer 23–25°C readings observed on the 16th. These conditions match typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 20°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, with traders weighting consensus guidance on cloud thickness and wind patterns most heavily.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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