Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
5°C or below 100%
15°C or higher 98%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
100%
6°C
31%
7°C
34%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
31%
14°C
35%
15°C or higher
98%
5°C or below 100%
15°C or higher 98%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
6°C
$0 Wol.
31%
7°C
$0 Wol.
34%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
38%
12°C
$0 Wol.
38%
13°C
$0 Wol.
31%
14°C
$0 Wol.
35%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Warsaw on September 18, with most runs clustering between 10–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup limits strong radiative cooling, as increased cloud cover and modest winds reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops compared with clear, calm conditions. Model spread remains notable, however, with some solutions allowing greater nocturnal cooling if skies clear more than expected, while others keep readings elevated amid lingering moisture. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-5 °C and 15 °C-plus outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or high-pressure influence over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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