Recent meteorological model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s overnight minimum on September 18 in the 13–15°C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14°C. Key drivers include the city’s 890 m elevation, which promotes efficient nocturnal radiational cooling, combined with forecast light northerly winds and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Clearer intervals could push readings toward 12–13°C, while increased moisture or persistent cloud would favor 14–15°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range amid transitional autumn conditions, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of any overnight precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
15°C 39%
12°C 38%
14°C 35%
13°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
30%
14°C
35%
15°C
39%
16°C
19%
17°C
15%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 39%
12°C 38%
14°C 35%
13°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
11°C
$0 Wol.
17%
12°C
$0 Wol.
38%
13°C
$0 Wol.
30%
14°C
$0 Wol.
35%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
19%
17°C
$0 Wol.
15%
18°C
$0 Wol.
13%
19°C
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s overnight minimum on September 18 in the 13–15°C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14°C. Key drivers include the city’s 890 m elevation, which promotes efficient nocturnal radiational cooling, combined with forecast light northerly winds and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Clearer intervals could push readings toward 12–13°C, while increased moisture or persistent cloud would favor 14–15°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range amid transitional autumn conditions, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of any overnight precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s overnight minimum on September 18 in the 13–15°C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14°C. Key drivers include the city’s 890 m elevation, which promotes efficient nocturnal radiational cooling, combined with forecast light northerly winds and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Clearer intervals could push readings toward 12–13°C, while increased moisture or persistent cloud would favor 14–15°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range amid transitional autumn conditions, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of any overnight precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s overnight minimum on September 18 in the 13–15°C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–14°C. Key drivers include the city’s 890 m elevation, which promotes efficient nocturnal radiational cooling, combined with forecast light northerly winds and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that moderate temperature drops. Clearer intervals could push readings toward 12–13°C, while increased moisture or persistent cloud would favor 14–15°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range amid transitional autumn conditions, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of any overnight precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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