**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 17 in Ankara, driven by a transient low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiative cooling.** This setup limits the typical nocturnal temperature drop under clear skies in the city’s continental climate at ~890 m elevation. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the low between roughly 13–15°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C. Historical mid-September minima average near 14°C, providing a climatological anchor, while updated model runs tonight will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
16°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
20%
17°C
18%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
16°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
9%
12°C
$0 Wol.
11%
13°C
$0 Wol.
22%
14°C
$0 Wol.
22%
15°C
$0 Wol.
21%
16°C
$0 Wol.
20%
17°C
$0 Wol.
18%
18°C
$0 Wol.
10%
19°C
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C
$0 Wol.
2%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 17 in Ankara, driven by a transient low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiative cooling.**
This setup limits the typical nocturnal temperature drop under clear skies in the city’s continental climate at ~890 m elevation. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the low between roughly 13–15°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C. Historical mid-September minima average near 14°C, providing a climatological anchor, while updated model runs tonight will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 17 in Ankara, driven by a transient low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiative cooling.**
This setup limits the typical nocturnal temperature drop under clear skies in the city’s continental climate at ~890 m elevation. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the low between roughly 13–15°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C. Historical mid-September minima average near 14°C, providing a climatological anchor, while updated model runs tonight will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 17 in Ankara, driven by a transient low-pressure system bringing increased cloud cover, light rain, and reduced radiative cooling.** This setup limits the typical nocturnal temperature drop under clear skies in the city’s continental climate at ~890 m elevation. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the low between roughly 13–15°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 13–16°C. Historical mid-September minima average near 14°C, providing a climatological anchor, while updated model runs tonight will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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