Current forecast models from sources including GFS data and national agencies project a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 21°C as the consensus peak. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions driven by high pressure and southerly flow, with afternoon maxima expected near 15:00 local time. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little shift over the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (63.5%) while leaving modest probability for 20°C or 22°C outcomes depending on exact solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these short-range numerical weather predictions heavily, given their reliability at this lead time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
21°C 64%
20°C 16%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
64%
22°C
15%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 64%
20°C 16%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$239 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$300 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$161 Wol.
2%
18°C
$211 Wol.
2%
19°C
$351 Wol.
4%
20°C
$1,131 Wol.
16%
21°C
$1,567 Wol.
64%
22°C
$199 Wol.
15%
23°C
$448 Wol.
2%
24°C
$62 Wol.
2%
25°C or higher
$296 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data and national agencies project a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 21°C as the consensus peak. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions driven by high pressure and southerly flow, with afternoon maxima expected near 15:00 local time. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little shift over the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (63.5%) while leaving modest probability for 20°C or 22°C outcomes depending on exact solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these short-range numerical weather predictions heavily, given their reliability at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,965Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data and national agencies project a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 21°C as the consensus peak. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions driven by high pressure and southerly flow, with afternoon maxima expected near 15:00 local time. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little shift over the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (63.5%) while leaving modest probability for 20°C or 22°C outcomes depending on exact solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these short-range numerical weather predictions heavily, given their reliability at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,965Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS data and national agencies project a daytime high of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 21°C as the consensus peak. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions driven by high pressure and southerly flow, with afternoon maxima expected near 15:00 local time. Recent model runs show stable guidance with little shift over the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C (63.5%) while leaving modest probability for 20°C or 22°C outcomes depending on exact solar heating and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these short-range numerical weather predictions heavily, given their reliability at this lead time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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