Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20, supported by warm overnight conditions, high humidity near 70-90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with sea-surface temperatures remaining elevated, sustain elevated baseline temperatures above the 1991-2020 average low of 23.8°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, carrying 30-50% probability in some runs, could further moderate the low by trapping heat. The near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 92%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
17%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
92%
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 92%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
17%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Guangzhou on September 20, supported by warm overnight conditions, high humidity near 70-90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with sea-surface temperatures remaining elevated, sustain elevated baseline temperatures above the 1991-2020 average low of 23.8°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, carrying 30-50% probability in some runs, could further moderate the low by trapping heat. The near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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