Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Meteorological Service Singapore forecast a daily maximum near 31–32°C for September 19, driven by southwest monsoon flow, southeasterly winds, and widespread afternoon thundery showers that promote cloud cover and limit insolation. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31.6°C and convection frequently caps peaks below the seasonal potential of 33–34°C. Early September saw several days above 34°C, but the current pattern favors moderation, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability while 31°C and 33°C trail closely. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on September 19?
32°C 51%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 15.4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
51%
33°C
26%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 15.4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
51%
33°C
26%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Meteorological Service Singapore forecast a daily maximum near 31–32°C for September 19, driven by southwest monsoon flow, southeasterly winds, and widespread afternoon thundery showers that promote cloud cover and limit insolation. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31.6°C and convection frequently caps peaks below the seasonal potential of 33–34°C. Early September saw several days above 34°C, but the current pattern favors moderation, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability while 31°C and 33°C trail closely. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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