Recent forecast model consensus from MetService, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daytime high near 15°C on September 20 in Wellington, driven by a southerly wind shift following a cold front that moderates spring temperatures while limiting peak warming. Daytime maxima are expected around 14–15°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, with southerly flows of 20–30 km/h suppressing further rises. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the narrow spread in latest model outputs explains the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
16°C 18%
13°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
15%
14°C
33%
15°C
50%
16°C
18%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
16°C 18%
13°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
$29 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
2%
12°C
$0 Wol.
5%
13°C
$0 Wol.
15%
14°C
$423 Wol.
33%
15°C
$235 Wol.
50%
16°C
$106 Wol.
18%
17°C
$0 Wol.
5%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C or higher
$29 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daytime high near 15°C on September 20 in Wellington, driven by a southerly wind shift following a cold front that moderates spring temperatures while limiting peak warming. Daytime maxima are expected around 14–15°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, with southerly flows of 20–30 km/h suppressing further rises. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the narrow spread in latest model outputs explains the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$859Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daytime high near 15°C on September 20 in Wellington, driven by a southerly wind shift following a cold front that moderates spring temperatures while limiting peak warming. Daytime maxima are expected around 14–15°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, with southerly flows of 20–30 km/h suppressing further rises. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the narrow spread in latest model outputs explains the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$859Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from MetService, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to a daytime high near 15°C on September 20 in Wellington, driven by a southerly wind shift following a cold front that moderates spring temperatures while limiting peak warming. Daytime maxima are expected around 14–15°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, with southerly flows of 20–30 km/h suppressing further rises. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the narrow spread in latest model outputs explains the market's heavy weighting toward 14–15°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine any last adjustments from evolving pressure gradients.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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