Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18, indicate northerly winds will advect milder air over Wellington on September 19, supporting a daily maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions with gusts exceeding 30 km/h. This places the outcome above the September climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 15–17°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model divergence noted in the latest updates. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the narrow forecast window ahead of the final overnight model cycles that could adjust the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
16°C 61%
17°C 34%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
61%
17°C
34%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 34%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$261 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$664 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$264 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$387 Wol.
2%
15°C
$2,342 Wol.
6%
16°C
$1,642 Wol.
61%
17°C
$772 Wol.
34%
18°C
$322 Wol.
1%
19°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$261 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18, indicate northerly winds will advect milder air over Wellington on September 19, supporting a daily maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions with gusts exceeding 30 km/h. This places the outcome above the September climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 15–17°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model divergence noted in the latest updates. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the narrow forecast window ahead of the final overnight model cycles that could adjust the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,997Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18, indicate northerly winds will advect milder air over Wellington on September 19, supporting a daily maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions with gusts exceeding 30 km/h. This places the outcome above the September climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 15–17°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model divergence noted in the latest updates. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the narrow forecast window ahead of the final overnight model cycles that could adjust the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,997Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18, indicate northerly winds will advect milder air over Wellington on September 19, supporting a daily maximum near 16°C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions with gusts exceeding 30 km/h. This places the outcome above the September climatological average high of roughly 13–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 15–17°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant model divergence noted in the latest updates. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the narrow forecast window ahead of the final overnight model cycles that could adjust the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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