Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 21, 2026, emphasize persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence across the Los Angeles basin, supporting highs mainly in the mid-70s with some areas reaching the upper 70s to near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies. This setup, typical for late September, limits daytime heating through cloud cover and cooler Pacific air advection, aligning with the market's strong preference for 76-77°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal warming trend ahead of the date, with historical averages near 76°F providing additional context for trader positioning. Updated observations on the 20th confirm similar conditions holding, reducing upside risk for higher bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 21?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 38%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
$13,629 Wol.
$13,629 Wol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 38%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
$13,629 Wol.
$13,629 Wol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 21, 2026, emphasize persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer influence across the Los Angeles basin, supporting highs mainly in the mid-70s with some areas reaching the upper 70s to near 80°F under mostly cloudy skies. This setup, typical for late September, limits daytime heating through cloud cover and cooler Pacific air advection, aligning with the market's strong preference for 76-77°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal warming trend ahead of the date, with historical averages near 76°F providing additional context for trader positioning. Updated observations on the 20th confirm similar conditions holding, reducing upside risk for higher bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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