Current high-pressure building over western Europe and northeasterly flow are the main drivers keeping Paris temperatures moderate on September 21, with official guidance and model consensus centering on a 22–23 °C peak under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions favor modest daytime heating near the seasonal average of roughly 21 °C, while limiting stronger advection of warmer air. The near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects small remaining uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Later model runs or updated observations could shift the balance if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond current projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 21?
23°C 42%
22°C 41%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
41%
23°C
42%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 41%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$184 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$128 Wol.
1%
20°C
$48 Wol.
1%
21°C
$101 Wol.
5%
22°C
$1,258 Wol.
41%
23°C
$971 Wol.
42%
24°C
$734 Wol.
13%
25°C
$128 Wol.
3%
26°C
$51 Wol.
2%
27°C
$120 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$145 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure building over western Europe and northeasterly flow are the main drivers keeping Paris temperatures moderate on September 21, with official guidance and model consensus centering on a 22–23 °C peak under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions favor modest daytime heating near the seasonal average of roughly 21 °C, while limiting stronger advection of warmer air. The near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects small remaining uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Later model runs or updated observations could shift the balance if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,865Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure building over western Europe and northeasterly flow are the main drivers keeping Paris temperatures moderate on September 21, with official guidance and model consensus centering on a 22–23 °C peak under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions favor modest daytime heating near the seasonal average of roughly 21 °C, while limiting stronger advection of warmer air. The near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects small remaining uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Later model runs or updated observations could shift the balance if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,865Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure building over western Europe and northeasterly flow are the main drivers keeping Paris temperatures moderate on September 21, with official guidance and model consensus centering on a 22–23 °C peak under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions favor modest daytime heating near the seasonal average of roughly 21 °C, while limiting stronger advection of warmer air. The near-even market split between 22 °C and 23 °C reflects small remaining uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and minor model spread in maximum temperature output. Later model runs or updated observations could shift the balance if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond current projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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