Latest Met Office guidance projects a 23°C high for London on September 21 under sunny skies and light westerly winds, aligning with trader emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge centered over southern Britain favors clear conditions and daytime radiative warming, yet the late-September solar angle and modest northerly flow component cap further gains near seasonal norms of 19–20°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C either way. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied odds closely tracking the consensus forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 21?
Highest temperature in London on September 21?
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
24°C 11%
21°C 8%
NOWE
$22,863 Wol.
NOWE
$22,863 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
46%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
24°C 11%
21°C 8%
NOWE
$22,863 Wol.
NOWE
$22,863 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$166 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$310 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,404 Wol.
1%
21°C
$2,978 Wol.
8%
22°C
$5,749 Wol.
46%
23°C
$5,508 Wol.
39%
24°C
$4,052 Wol.
11%
25°C
$2,202 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$315 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$290 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$291 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a 23°C high for London on September 21 under sunny skies and light westerly winds, aligning with trader emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge centered over southern Britain favors clear conditions and daytime radiative warming, yet the late-September solar angle and modest northerly flow component cap further gains near seasonal norms of 19–20°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C either way. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied odds closely tracking the consensus forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,863Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projects a 23°C high for London on September 21 under sunny skies and light westerly winds, aligning with trader emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge centered over southern Britain favors clear conditions and daytime radiative warming, yet the late-September solar angle and modest northerly flow component cap further gains near seasonal norms of 19–20°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C either way. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied odds closely tracking the consensus forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,863Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance projects a 23°C high for London on September 21 under sunny skies and light westerly winds, aligning with trader emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge centered over southern Britain favors clear conditions and daytime radiative warming, yet the late-September solar angle and modest northerly flow component cap further gains near seasonal norms of 19–20°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C either way. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied odds closely tracking the consensus forecast envelope ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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